Instahoglets

June 25, 2009

Instahoglets, the "I'm Sick" Edition

By Steve Hynd

I've got a Summer cold, as has my five year old. So I've been up half the night coughing or trying to keep him happy and I'm in no condition to blog anything serious today. So I thought I'd share some of the more unusual links from my bookmarks with you.

-- There is always The Daily Grail when you need a shot of weird to brighten your day. It's where I started blogging and where our researcher Kat provides one of the daily news roundups. It's everything X-Files from the paranormal to cutting edge science, discussed by amateurs, experts, sceptics and true believers in a spirit of general bonhomie. A great site.

-- Strange Maps is one of the most fascinating blogs going. It's exactly what it says it is - a series of well-written posts featuring unusual maps, like the one showing the ever-evolving line following “the point at which an imaginary, flat, weightless and rigid map of the US would balance perfectly if weights of identical value were placed on it so that each weight represented the location of one person on the date of the census”, or the "best beer map of America".

-- For those who love digital art - especially science fiction, fantasy or horror art - CGTalk's forum galleries are the place to look. Over 2,000 pieces of artwork, many of them simply astoundingly good.

-- Scots Online, Pittin the Mither Tongue oan the Wab. The Scots language is not just a dialect of English, it is a seperate entity related to English in much the same way as Spanish is to Italian. This website provides articles on the Scots language, its evolution into its present form and even an English-Scots dictionary. I've been interested in Scots and the preservation of the language since my high school days over twenty years ago. We think in language and so when we lose a language we lose a way of thinking which is an integral part of a culture.

May 13, 2009

Midweek Hoglets

By Fester:
I'm a bit busy right now. Here are some of the more interesting things that I have seen but do not have enough time to write about:

  • Time Magazine reports on Hezbollah's growing quasi-statehood and legitimation as Hezbollah and the Lebanese government cracks down on Israeli agents that are spying on Hezbollah operations.

    Hizballah has stepped up its counterintelligence operations — ironically, with the help of Lebanon's Internal Security Forces (ISF), the U.S.-trained national police force. Officials say the ISF three years ago began tracking Adeeb al-Alam, a former colonel in General Security, another state security branch. When the ISF intercepted communication between him and Israeli intelligence, they began working with Hizballah, and together extracted enough information from al-Alam


  • Stratfor recaps the strategic failure of Iraq and the myth-making of 'success' of the Surge:

    The goals of the 2003 invasion, which were to create a pro-American regime in Baghdad, redefine the political order of Iraq and use Iraq as a base of operations against hostile regimes in the region, were unattainable.... 


  • The Shia subsequently and painfully shifted their position to accepting a coalition government, the mainstream Sunnis helped break the back of the jihadists and the civil war subsided, allowing the United States to stage a withdrawal under much more favorable circumstances. 


  • This was a much better outcome than most would have thought possible in 2006. It was, however, an outcome that fell far short of American strategic goals of 2003. The current government in Baghdad is far from pro-American and is unlikely to be an ally of the United States; keeping it from becoming an Iranian tool would be the best outcome for the United States at this point. The United States certainly is not about to reshape Iraqi society, and Iraq is not likely to be a long-term base for U.S. offensive operations in the region.

  • Spork reviews the 'highlights' of John Yoo's career. The Philly Inquirer demonstrates that working the refs is effective if they hire an alleged war criminal to deflect accusations that they have standards that favor reality or liberals.

  • Zenpundit argues that a very long term goal of no nukes massively increases the risk of major power war. A) I don't think strategic deterrent levels of under several hundred counter-value warheads will ever be breached by US or Russia so the practical side of the argument goes out the door B) Does increasing levels of precision and lethality of modern weaponry decrease the firepower equalization argument for tactical and low yield nukes ( for instance an MLRS battery in the 80s was supposed to be able to engage and defeat a Warsaw Pact motor rifle company in a deep strike role instead of Corps artillery dropping a small tactical nuke on that formation)... need to think about this a whole lot more

  • Andrew Samwick passes along an interesting paper on debt overhang and how long it may take for the US economy to get back to a decent balance sheet.
  • Free markets in healthcare suck, so says liberterian economist blogger Tyler Cowen:

    It's a common claim that health care would be more efficient and cheaper if not for third party payment. Sometimes, yes, but often these claims are overstated, especially when the link between treatment and improvement is murky. To consider one example, for the most part autism related services are not covered by private health insurance. Government aid is often scarce as well. Also in Canada, medical benefits for autism-related services are quite limited. So when it comes to autism, this is a fee for service setting for the most part.
    And what does this world look like? 


  • 1. Services are not especially cheap nor do they seem to be falling in price. 


  • 2. Market participants are not well informed about what works. Many parents of autistic children pursue hoeless treatments or unvalidated or even refuted theories. Some of the treatments, such as chelation, are harmful in many cases and yield no benefits.

  • April 05, 2009

    Instahoglets - Obamanomics Edition

    Commentary By Ron Beasley

    If you been hanging out at Hoggers at all you may have noticed were not very happy with the Obama administration.  Steve covered the AF/PAK Instahoglets below but there is a lot of material on the economy today as well.  It looks like the Obama economic brain trust is largely made up of some of the same people who caused our current economic woes or did nothing to stop them.

    First up we have Glenn Greenwald,

    Larry Summers, Tim Geithner and Wall Street's ownership of government

    Last night, former Reagan-era S&L regulator and current University of Missouri Professor Bill Black was on Bill Moyers' Journal and detailed the magnitude of what he called the on-going massive fraud, the role Tim Geithner played in it before being promoted to Treasury Secretary (where he continues to abet it), and -- most amazingly of all -- the crusade led by Alan Greenspan, former Goldman CEO Robert Rubin (Geithner's mentor) and Larry Summers in the late 1990s to block the efforts of top regulators (especially Brooksley Born, head of the Commodities Futures Trading Commission) to regulate the exact financial derivatives market that became the principal cause of the global financial crisis.  To get a sense for how deep and massive is the on-going fraud and the key role played in it by key Obama officials, I highly recommend watching that Black interview (it can be seen here and the transcript is here).

    Of course it's not just Geithner.  We covered Summers' history here.  Greenwald continues

    Rubin, Summers and Greenspan succeeded in inducing Congress -- funded, of course, by these same financial firms -- to enact legislation blocking the CFTC from regulating these derivative markets.  More amazingly still, the CFTC, headed back then by Born, is now headed by Obama appointee Gary Gensler, a former Goldman Sachs executive (naturally) who was as instrumental as anyone in blocking any regulations of those derivative markets (and then enriched himself by feeding on those unregulated markets).

    Just think about how this works.  People like Rubin, Summers and Gensler shuffle back and forth from the public to the private sector and back again, repeatedly switching places with their GOP counterparts in this endless public/private sector looting.  When in government, they ensure that the laws and regulations are written to redound directly to the benefit of a handful of Wall St. firms, literally abolishing all safeguards and allowing them to pillage and steal.  Then, when out of government, they return to those very firms and collect millions upon millions of dollars, profits made possible by the laws and regulations they implemented when in government.  Then, when their party returns to power, they return back to government, where they continue to use their influence to ensure that the oligarchical circle that rewards them so massively is protected and advanced. 

    Over at The Left Coaster paradox chimes in:

    As far as I can tell—‘n what Galbraith wrote in the Washington Monthly—is that Geithner and Summers are currently implementing the looting of the Treasury so we can get back to normal, meaning privately owned banking and finance that enabled gross inequity and got us into this mess.

    Remember, as Josh Marshall so astutely pointed out, so far there has been nary a peep on plans to break up these too-big-to-fail extortionists. Why on earth we would be so foolish as to allow the precise same environment to exist after trillions of dollars of looting defies any notion of common sense, but this is where we are.

    I’m sickly furious with this exasperating mess that only gets worse by the week, it’s grinding our people down and blowing up political capital all over the place. The hedge fund manager income tax exemption story is just waiting to erupt all over again, and I get the distinct impression Geithner, Summers, Axelrod and Bernanke are totally clueless on the red-hot volatility of this issue, extremely powerful political forces could careen out of control under their hands at any minute.

    That's right - we voted for Obama to stop the looting of the American taxpayer by the wealthy oligarchs and it continues as if there had been no election at all and the Bush/Cheney pirates were still in charge.

    There is one ray of hope, Elizabeth Warren:

    Elizabeth Warren, chief watchdog of America's $700bn (£472bn) bank bailout plan, will this week call for the removal of top executives from Citigroup, AIG and other institutions that have received government funds in a damning report that will question the administration's approach to saving the financial system from collapse.

    Warren, a Harvard law professor and chair of the congressional oversight committee monitoring the government's Troubled Asset Relief Program (Tarp), is also set to call for shareholders in those institutions to be "wiped out". "It is crucial for these things to happen," she said. "Japan tried to avoid them and just offered subsidy with little or no consequences for management or equity investors, and this is why Japan suffered a lost decade." She declined to give more detail but confirmed that she would refer to insurance group AIG, which has received $173bn in bailout money, and banking giant Citigroup, which has had $45bn in funds and more than $316bn of loan guarantees.

    Warren also believes there are "dangers inherent" in the approach taken by treasury secretary Tim Geithner, who she says has offered "open-ended subsidies" to some of the world's biggest financial institutions without adequately weighing potential pitfalls. "We want to ensure that the treasury gives the public an alternative approach," she said, adding that she was worried that banks would not recover while they were being fed subsidies. "When are they going to say, enough?" she said.

    But will anyone be listening? Ian Welsh doubts it:

    I don't have much hope any of this will occur. Warren's not part of the boys club of Summers, Geithner, Bernanke and Obama who's making the decisions. But one can hope...

    The change that Obama promised has turned out to be anything but change.

    March 31, 2009

    Instahoglets - Detroit Edition

    Commentary By Ron Beasley

    Obama has announced his plans for the US automakers.  Here is what people are saying.

    Our friend Shaun Mullen says that GM's failure represents a failure of leadership all around

    Wagoner had begun to turn GM around with some decent new products after 15 years years of lousy "leadership" while the automotive world was stealing a march on him, but these products are far too little, far too lacking in innovation and far too late, while Wagoner himself continued to be accountability averse and his board tone deaf regarding the hash he had made of things.

    Meanwhile, the recovery plan that Wagoner fashioned was laughably inadequate.

    He believed that GM could remain far larger than was realistic in today's hyper competitive global market. His recovery plan did not cut deeply enough and assumed the best at every turn, including hanging on to its already diminished market share and even growing while projecting losses for years to come.

    What we have here is a failure of leadership all around starting with Wagoner and his board of directors to the enablers in Congress led by a Michigan delegation that looked the other way for years, to the Bush administration and congressional Democrats, who proved to be better at panicking and throwing our money at the mess than than getting tough.

    I think that part of it is the systematic failure of the Wall Street driven casino economy.  GM like all corporate entities was forced to maximize short term profit at the expense of long term goals.

    For once David Brooks comes close to getting it right.

    There are many experts who think that the whole restructuring strategy is misbegotten. These experts think that costs are not the real problem. The real problem is the product. The cars are not good enough. The management is insular. The reputation is fatally damaged.

    But if you are in the restructuring business, you can’t let these stray thoughts get in the way of your restructuring. After all, restructuring is your life. Restructuring is forever. Restructuring is like what dieting is for many of us: You think about it every day. You believe it’s about to work. Nothing really changes.

    When the economy cratered last fall, the professionals at G.M. went into Super-Duper Restructuring Overdrive. In October, they warned the Bush administration of a possible bankruptcy filing and started restructuring. In December, they came back asking for a loan while they … (wait for it) ... restructured.

    The Politico reports that Obama caught the Republicans flat footed and threw a wrench into their well oiled spin machine.

    President Barack Obama may or may not be able to save the U.S. auto industry, but his dramatic restricting plan is already having some effect: It’s sent the highly disciplined GOP message machine careening out of control.

    Sen. John McCain, the Republicans’ 2008 presidential candidate, accused Obama Monday of “unprecedented window dressing” and said his plan didn’t go far enough. But Rep. Thaddeus G. McCotter, chairman of the House Republican Policy Committee, complained that Obama was being tougher on Detroit than he’s been on Wall Street.

    California Rep. Darrell Issa praised Obama for having “struck the right chord.” But Tennessee Sen. Lamar Alexander said Obama’s plan was “not the right direction.” 

    Over at The Moderate Voice Martha Randolph Carr thinks GM CEO Rick Wagoner should have been shown the door.

    Governor Jennifer Granholm, (D) of Michigan appearing on the Today show after the news of his leaving the company referred to him as a ‘sacrificial lamb’ apparently viewing him as a fallen leader who was forced to take one for the team.

    The team, in case the governor has forgotten, would be the hundreds of thousands of hardworking Americans who are one step closer to losing their jobs, pensions and medical coverage as a result of Wagoner’s management style. Let’s review a little recent history.

    Nothing about the car business happens quickly. That holds true whether the cars are made in America or Japan or Germany. Designs have to be created, discussed, refined and broken down into potential costs that cover a wide range of issues. If even a tail light changes it affects what has to be discontinued to make a space on the assembly line and causes a momentary and expensive disruption as a plant is retooled, even if ever so slightly.

    Now couple that with the mountain of research surrounding global warming and its affects on the environment and a growing consciousness by the American public. Every car company in the world got the memos.

    Toyota and Honda started addressing the ramifications to the bottom line 20 years ago so that when the new century started they had something to offer.

    GM’s response was to introduce a new model of the gas-guzzling Hummer, the H2 and in 2003 stage a publicity stunt by driving a rainbow caravan of H2’s to South Florida to promote the Inner-City Games Foundation chaired by California Governor Schwarzenegger. GM’s Hummer marketing analyst, Randy Foutch described the Hummer buyer at the time as, “daring, self-assured, entrepreneurial people who see Hummer as being a reflection of themselves; unique.”

    March 25, 2009

    Instahoglets Wednesday

    By Steve Hynd

    Some hump-day links for your reading pleasure.

    -- Our offtimes colleague Eric Martin continues his takeover of Ezra Klien's internet with a new foreign policy aggregator called The Progressive Realist. Eric's the editor but the guiding light behind it all is Robert Wright, who wrote the original seminal article I said so many nice things about back in 2006.

    -- The Armchair Generalist pours scorn on the British governments terrorism fearmongering: "Hey, UK Home Office? The year 2001 called, it wants its threat assessment back."

    - Jeff Huber at Scholars & Rogues on the "long war" con game: "Our generals are forcing a self-defeating security policy on us for the sake of preserving their institution."

    -- The Anonymous Liberal gets it exactly right on AIG executive Jake DeSantis' resignation letter. "Had the government allowed AIG to fail last fall, DeSantis wouldn't have received anything...The fact that the plight of a millionaire executive (one who actually received his promised bonus) elicits such sympathy from the Right, but the plight of blue collar assembly line workers doesn't says a lot about the ideological prism through which many conservatives view the world."

    -- Fred Kaplan at Slate: CT or COIN? Obama must choose this week between two radically different Afghanistan policies. Ilan Goldenberg at Democracy Arsenal: let's do a half-arsed try at COIN for two or three Friedmans worth and then if it doesn't look like it will work go for a minimalist CT and then withdraw approach.

    March 24, 2009

    Instahoglets - Tuesday

    By Ron Beasley

    Nothstine explains how FreeCreditReport.com et al charge you for something that you actually can get for free.

    Kevin at Preemptive Karma reports that  a majority of American Jewry support  the U.S. disagreeing with both sides in the ongoing Israeli/Palestinian conflict and ......   

    A whopping 69% of American Jews support the idea of engaging the Palestinians even with Hamas as participants!

    Related - this editorial in the LA Times last week by an American Jew: Zionism is the problem

    Big Gav looks at George Will's war on science.

    The Galloping Beaver brings us a musical plea to Paul Krugman.

    Lance Manion tries to look at all sides of the Geithner bailout plan.

    March 18, 2009

    Instahoglets Wednesday

    By Steve Hynd

    - James Joyner and Matt Yglesias debate why Democrats can't win for losing. Good stuff, although Matt too often seems to be auditioning for the part of VSP nowadays: "American politics in the future will mostly be dominated by a center-right political coalition just as it always has". Is that in the same way that the UK was dominated by an upper-middle class political coalition right up until, post WW2, it wasn't? Where's the fighting spirit and effort to alter paradigms, Matt? 

    - Still, Big Tent Democrat gets the fight right - "There is nothing more important that we can do, as citizens, activists or bloggers than fight to pressure DEMOCRATS to do the right thing on OUR issues...It's more important BY FAR than "fighting" for your favorite pol because your favorite pol will ALWAYS, I mean ALWAYS, disappoint you."

    - Paul Woodward at War In Context has a story that should scare you. Israel's new government really wants to hit to hit the Iranian leadership, their holiest sites and "anything and everything of value" - and they don't mind embarassing Hillary Clinton or their own ambassador to the U.S. to send that message loud and clear.

    - Hagel on Cheney: "The mess that the Bush administration left the Obama administration. I’m a Republican…we got America into two wars, we’ve done great damage to our economy, to our force structure, to our standing in the world. For a Vice President who participated in that, who led in that, to come on and say that this new administration has really put America in danger is just folly."

    - Lawrence Wilkerson: Some Truths About Guantanamo Bay. Yes, it could be closed quickly.

    - Daniel Larison: The Imperial Double Standard. "Other states do not get to have any tools of coercion, because their use of such tools is automatically unacceptable, and naturally this is all part of his “serious discussion” of diplomacy. These tools of coercion are apparently reserved only for us and those we deem fit to possess them. Our desire to have secure access to the Gulf and its oil is apparently a real interest, but we can’t let anyone else have spheres of influence, because we have increasingly defined the exercise of significant influence by other states to be something akin to aggression, whereas our actual wars of aggression are seriously considered either wars of self-defense or the fulfillment of some high-minded international obligations." Yup, that's American exceptionalism all right. I don't yet see many signs that Clinton Obama foreign policy is trying too hard to unsubscribe from that standard.

    March 10, 2009

    Instahoglets for Tuesday

    By Ron Beasley

    Over at Needlenose greenboy explains how increased CO2 levels are turning the oceans into an acid vat and threatening the entire food chain.  I heard that the oyster farmers here in Oregon are feeling the impact.

    Shaun Mullen explains why it's time for General Motors to just go "Bye Bye".

    For most of the past 20 years, General Motors wouldn't cut the buying public a break, marketing a succession of crapola cars as the rest of the automotive world passed it by and its market share shrunk by leaps and bounds. But now that GM shows signs of a deathbed conversion with an improving product line and commitment to downsizing, it can't catch a break.

    In his Sunday Morning Toons Nothstine brings us this flash from the past when cigarettes were cool and advertised on TV cartoon shows

    The Grumpy Forester discusses Republican Death Wishes

    A few days ago we had Senator Jim Bunning making plans for the near-term demiseof SCOTUS Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Today we see the de facto Boss Hogg of the Republican party almost celebrating the theoretical demise of Ted Kennedy with relation to the impending fight over some sort of comprehensive health benefits plan that would benefit all Americans...

    These episodes are perfect demonstrations of the difference between the world all of us little people live in versus the mountaintops on which these anointed few perch. Out here in the real world, there is no particular tolerance for stupid insensitivity and a pretty good chance of ostracization - if not violence - for those who can't pick up on the obvious clues. Up on the mountaintop where punditry lives, apparently, these rules don't exist. The sorts of comments that would get your ample butt thrown off of a PTA committee or city council or county commision are merely ignored if you are an elected legislator that your party would like to see fade away or excused if you are a hero to your party's base despite accusations of behavior that the party's base would consider to be apostasy were it committed by anybody else...

     I lived a part of my early adult life in a few small-town cowboy/logger bars in any number of small cowboy/logger towns out here in the intermountain west, and I can guarantee that the sorts of things that these two clowns have said would have started brawls if they had been said in those places. That sort of action doesn't seem to ever happen up there on the Republican side of that mountaintop. Maybe that's why they can't figure out why they are less popular than oil company and banking executives in the eyes of the American people...

    Kari Chisholm at Blue Oregon reports on another lifelong Republican who has left the Party

    The Mayor of Waldport, Herman Welch, has abandoned the Republican Party with a stinging rebuke in a letter to the editor of the Oregonian:

    At the age of 74 and after 53 years, I have finally quit the Republican Party and have re-registered as an independent voter.

    Most of us understand that the president's economic recovery program is not perfect and perhaps has flaws. But we also understand that our country is in the midst of a very serious crisis. The president understands the gravity of the problem and is trying to do something about it.

    The Republicans in Congress (except for the three who put their country first and set aside party ideology by voting for the stimulus bill) have offered no constructive economic recovery ideas except to continue tax cuts for the rich (if any are left) and offer only worn-out ideology.

    I still believe in having political parties that engage in vigorous constructive dialogue on economic issues, but as President Obama said recently, "When the town is burning you don't check party labels. Everybody needs to grab a hose."

    March 06, 2009

    Friday Instahoglets

    By BJ Bjornson

    Some Friday afternoon reading for all of you formally productive folks now going all "John Galt" because Obama has the sheer gall to allow Bush tax cuts to expire and send rates back to where they were in the horrible 90's of government surpluses and a strong economy. And so to start off, a nice little column explaining how stupid the whole, "war on the rich", claim is.

    It was pretty clearly Rush Limbaugh's week, and one of the best takes on the Republican's self-inflicted wounding I've read is from Al Giordano.

    Of course, we're told this is all a distraction, and the Republicans would really like you to focus on the important matters, like whether Obama and his wife snubbed the British, how dependent Obama is on his teleprompter, and of course, the fact that his birth certificate was faked.

    All of which points to the fact the Rush is the least of the Republican's problems. Their real problem is that they have no leader, no direction, and no ideas.

    And for good measure, John Cole asks that someone provide him with some evidence that national Democratic leaders stood up and said they wanted to see George Bush fail like the GOP leadership is doing today.

    In actually important news, Kevin Drum notes how the poor get screwed by the US health system.

    The Catholic Church has decided to excommunicate everyone involved with getting a nine-year-old rape victim an abortion for a pregnancy that threatened her life. The rapist is still presumably a member in good standing, since punishing the sexual abuse of minors would leave them woefully short on priests.

    James Dobbins figures the best way to start a dialogue with Iran is to stop not talking to them. Looks like the administration is willing to take the advice.

    And because I don't want to leave you sad, this video from the Onion regarding our love affair with gadgets. (Warning: Considerable profanity)


    Sony Releases New Stupid Piece Of Shit That Doesn't Fucking Work

    February 28, 2009

    Weekend Instahoglets

    By Cernig

    Something for the weekend...

    -- Andrew Exum, Abu Muquawama, has announced in an interview with himself that he's to be the in-house blogger at CNAS, the neoliberal mothership. He writes in comments "Maybe the problem is that the COINdinistas are making better use of the internet." Ain't that the truth. Voices in favor of a more traditional military machine aren't very internet savvy and are thus behind the COINdinistas' curve, in a graphic vindication of COIN-informed tactics for information warfare. But netroots progressives are in an even worse position - that of denial. Those who would object to putting all the really practical tools of foreign policy under perpetual military rather than civilian ownership if they really thought about it haven't even begun to do so. 

    -- The Eminent Jurists Panel, an independent body of experts convened by the International Commission of Jurists (ICJ), have called upon the US and others to give up the war paradigm in combatting international terrorism. "It notes that the US has applied the law of war to persons not involved in armed conflict, and in real situations of warfare it has distorted, selectively applied and ignored otherwise binding rules, including fundamental human rights guarantees. This has resulted in human rights violations, including torture and cruel or inhuman treatment, arbitrary and secret detention and the denial of the right to a fair trial."

    -- Pakistan: for a remarkably rich and informative backgrounder on internal Pakistani tensions when considering the "War on Terror" vs their traditional emnity to India, look no further than Pullitzer-winner Steve Coll's excellent new piece "The Back Channel". A must read.

    -- Meanwhile...one of these things is not like another: The AP reports Pakistani military officials as saying the Taliban have lost two border regions, but Asian Age reports the Pakistani police believe the Taliban could take over Karachi any time they wanted to. (Back in 2005, a Jane's Terrorism and Security Monitor report estimated that there were upwards of 25,000 graduates of Taliban training camps living in the city.) And the Zardari government's transparent attempt to keep his main rival, Nawaz Sharif, out of politics by using tame judges against him is even alienating supporters, who hear the sound of the Taliban laughing.

    -- Michael O'Hanlon and Ken Pollack argue that the Iraq SOFA agreement and the wishes of Iraqis shouldn't be considered binding and that US troops must stay in Iraq for years..."Having just returned from a trip to the country arranged by the top American commander there, Gen. Ray Odierno". You don't say!

    --  Lt. Gen. (Ret.) David Barno, the former head of coalition forces in Afghanistan, told the Senate Armed Services Committee on Thursday that the US should expect to be in Afghanistan for at least another 16 years. (h/t Kat) The moral for Obama is - don't leave decisions on withdrawal up to people who have a natural inclination to stay in. Generations of women will tell you that doesn't work!

    -- But if you're waiting for The Singularity to solve all our problems, forget about it. Charlie Stross explains:

    The rapture of the nerds, like space colonization, is likely to be a non-participatory event for 99.999% of humanity — unless we're very unlucky. If it happens and it's interested in us, all our plans go out the window. If it doesn't happen, sitting around waiting for the AIs to save us from the rising sea level/oil shortage/intelligent bioengineered termites looks like being a Real Bad Idea. The best approach to the singularity is to apply Pascal's Wager — in reverse — and plan on the assumption that it ain't going to happen, much less save us from ourselves.

    You should read the rest of Charlie's "FAQ for the 21st Century". Really. (h/t Kat again)

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    "Whoever can speak, speaking now to the whole nation, becomes a power, a branch of government, with inalienable weight in law-making, in all acts of authority. It matters not what rank he has, what revenues or garnitures. The requisite thing is, that he have a tongue which others will listen to; this and nothing more is requisite. The nation is governed by all that has tongue in the nation: Democracy is virtually there."
    ------
    ~Thomas Carlyle, On Heroes and Hero Worship, 1841