Tom Ricks, Imperialist And Loving It
By Cernig
Tom Ricks, hagiographer to generals and much-lauded fellow of the Obama administration's "counterinsurgency HQ" at the Center for a New American Security, finally comes out and says it: the US has accepted the White Man's Burden from previous colonial empires and will be meddling in the Middle East for centuries, "following in the footsteps of Alexander the Great, the Romans and the British".
For thousands of years, it has been the fate of the West's great powers to become involved in the region's politics. [as if they had no choice - C] Since the Suez Crisis of 1956, when British and French influence suffered a major reduction, it has been the United States' turn to take the lead there. And sitting on that wall, it struck me that the more we talk about getting out of the Middle East, the more deeply we seem to become engaged in it.
President Obama campaigned on withdrawing from Iraq, but even he has talked about a post-occupation force. The widespread expectation inside the U.S. military is that we will have tens of thousands of troops there for years to come. Indeed, in his last interview with me last November, Gen. Raymond T. Odierno, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, told me that he would like to see about 30,000 troops still there in 2014 or 2015.
...So, to address the perceptive question that Petraeus posed during the invasion: How does this end?
Probably the best answer came from Charlie Miller, who did the first draft of policy development and presidential reporting for Petraeus. "I don't think it does end," he replied. "There will be some U.S. presence, and some relationship with the Iraqis, for decades. . . . We're thinking in terms of Reconstruction after the Civil War."
He goes on to explain that, no matter when the US eventually leaves, there'll be a civil war in Iraq.
Toby Dodge, a British defense expert who was an occasional adviser to Petraeus, "the current Iraqi government is full of Iranian clients. You'll almost certainly end up with a rough and ready dictatorship . . . that will be in hock to Iran."
...Maj. Matt Whitney, who spent 2006 advising Iraqi generals, predicted that once U.S. forces were out of the way, Iraqi commanders would relapse to the brutal ways of earlier days: "Saddam Hussein taught them how to [suppress urban populations] and we've just reinforced that lesson for four years," he said. "They're ready to kill people -- a lot of people -- in order to get stability in Iraq."
..."When you got to know them and they'd be honest with you, every single one of them thought that the whole notion of democracy and representative government in Iraq was absolutely ludicrous," said Maj. Chad Quayle, who advised an Iraqi battalion in south Baghdad during the surge.
So can someone explain to me how squandering "blood, treasure, prestige and credibility" for decades to simply delay the inevitable is better than getting out now? And if that explanation is forthcoming from military-enamoured liberal COIN hawks, maybe while they're at it they can explain why, in extolling the virtues of their new and improved war-fighting and nation-building formula, they keep neglecting to be specific about the generations-long colonialism it entails.




























What do all these generals and defence experts think about the lessons of history? Perhaps the course of study at the War College hasn't caught up to WWI yet.
Posted by: Bartolo | February 14, 2009 at 04:07 PM
It's impossible to overstate how humiliating that quote that Ricks got from Major Quayle is to the United States.
As for. . .
. . . no one has said it better.Posted by: Russ Wellen | February 14, 2009 at 07:15 PM
>> So can someone explain to me how squandering "blood, treasure, prestige and credibility" for decades to simply delay the inevitable is better than getting out now?
I'll have a go... The US doesn't want anyone else getting their hands on all that Iraqi oil until there's at least a majority of plug-in hybrid cars in the US, and installation of the infrastructure for them is completed.
>>...while they're at it they can explain why...they keep neglecting to be specific about the generations-long colonialism it entails.
If nobody 'important' mentions it, and nobody in the press talks about it, the vast majority of the US public won't ever think about it.
>> ..."When you got to know them and they'd be honest with you, every single one of them thought that the whole notion of democracy and representative government in Iraq was absolutely ludicrous," said Maj. Chad Quayle...
Most semi-educated, semi-thoughtful people in the US would also think the notion ludicrous -- if the Bush administration and our corporate press hadn't so successfullly catapulted the propaganda that 'democracy' was the reason the the US invaded and occupied Iraq.
Posted by: Kat | February 14, 2009 at 08:32 PM
Well, I guess the point of "Springtime For Hitler", in the Mel Brooks film, was that it was a hit!
Posted by: anna missed | February 15, 2009 at 04:29 AM
Thanks Cernig!
Posted by: empty | February 15, 2009 at 06:34 PM
Empty, thanks yourself, for speaking truth to liberals in power.
Regards, C
Posted by: Steve Hynd | February 15, 2009 at 07:43 PM