Just in time for the holidays...Global Trends 2025

Every four years, the National Intelligence Council takes a stab at predicting the furture.  Their Global Trends 2025 was just released.  Just in case you were growing weary of all the happy talk about the economy, here's some of the reports highlights that will be sure to put a big deep dent in your Sunday:

-  ...the U.S. dollar, while remaining important, will decline to "first among equals" among other national currencies.

-  U.S. global power also will likely decline, as Americans' concerns about putting resources into solving domestic problems may cause the United States to pull resources from foreign and global problems.

-  China and India, following a "state capitalism" economic model, were likely to join the United States atop a multipolar world and compete for influence, the report said.

-  Russia's potential was less certain, depending on its energy wealth and internal investment. But Iran, Turkey and Indonesia were also seen gaining power.

-  A world with multiple power centers has been less stable than one with a single or two rival superpowers, and there was a growing potential for conflict, the report said.

-  Global warming will be felt, and water, food and energy constraints may fuel conflict over resources.

-  "Strategic rivalries are most likely to revolve around trade, investments and technological innovation and acquisition, but we cannot rule out a 19th century-like scenario of arms races, territorial expansion and military rivalries," the report said.

-  Global wealth was seen shifting from the developed West to the energy-rich Gulf States and Russia, and to Asia, the rising center of manufacturing and some service industries.

-  A shift away from an oil-based energy system will be underway or complete by 2025. Better renewable technologies such as solar and wind power offer the best opportunity for a quick and low-cost transition, the report said.

-  The risk that militant groups would use biological weapons was greater than the risk of nuclear terrorism, the report said.

-  India, China and Brazil will rise, the Korean peninsula will be unified in some form, and new powers are likely to emerge from the Muslim non-Arab world.

Information sources: Huffington Post, Reuters, AFP

Comments

[Jimbo]

Arn't these the same guys who said 4 years ago in their 2020 Forecast that the US's continued dominance of a Unipolar World would remain unchallanged?

[anderson]

"Benevolent global hegemony."

Ah, what dreams may come when they have shuffled off this mortal coil. 'Cause it ain't happening here, chumps.