Damn you John McCain...
By Fester:
Damn you John McCain, you and your 'rally' this morning has cost me at least 45 minutes of sleep. I'm flying out of state for business this week and my flight is scheduled to leave the Pittsburgh International Airport just as McCain is scheduled to start speaking at an aviation company at the edge of the airport property. I figure since this is the last day of campaigning, in a critical region for McCain, there is a chance that he could attract a crowd similar to that of a good high school football game, and I just can not afford to get stuck behind that traffic.... Damn you McCain for making me get up too early!
At this point, the race is down to Pennsylvania, and even that it is not that far 'down.' I think Obama wins Pennsylvania by 6 to 7 points, and the national popular vote by 7 or 8 points as third party votes collapse, GOTV takes effect and the organizational edge grinds out the win. I think that Congressman Murtha barely survives (less than a 5% win) but Kanjorski in PA-11 loses. That will be one third of the House Congressional losses for Democrats. I think Democrats pick up a net of 28 to 32 seats for the House, and 'only' 8 in the Senate. I am still amazed at the expectations of this cycle as 60 was plausible. And I am expecting one hell of an intra-mural GOP food fight starting on Wednesday. I bet the 'we were not conservative enough' faction will win the opening round.
I wish I shared your confidence about Pa. -- do you know something I don't?
Posted by: Jonathan Potts | November 03, 2008 at 09:17 AM