Primaries to prevent Idiocy
Ideally, politicians would not need federal indictments or
the threat of losing their seat to be personally non-corrupt, but politicians
are people and people are absolutely stunning in their ability to rationalize
and self-justify almost any behavior. Furthermore, there is a steady stream of opportunity for personal
graft. So it is necessary for
counter-vailing forces to push back against the incentives towards corruption
and self-dealing.
I am a firm believer in the value of primary elections,
especially for Democrats as the Republican Party looks like it will be spending
at least a couple electoral cycles in a very nasty circular firing squad as the
theo-cons duke it out with the money-cons and the debate is between the beer
halls, Sam’s Club and country-club Republicanisms. The GOP will be able to take out the most
idiotic and vulnerable House Democrats such as Rep. Tim Mahoney (D-Fl) but the
electoral incentive to behave will not be a significant nor credible threat in
the general election.
A few weeks
ago, I wrote that it will be the job of progressives and open government/good
government types of all ideologies to create strong pressures to prevent
complete douchebaggery because there will not be a strong internal caucus
incentive for self-policing. The
Republicans will be shut out of power so they won’t be able to market their
access to power while Democrats will be fighting a tug-of-war with significant
factions being ensconced and insulated from electoral consequences. We’ll see behaviors as outrageous as the
$90,000 block of ‘alleged’ cash found in Rep. Jefferson’s freezer and working
down the outrageous list, behaviors similar to Rep. Rangel’s rent deal in
Manhatten.
Credible threats of prosecution are severely lagging indicators as a good lawyer and a non-drunk political strategist can drag the motions through for at least one electoral cycle. Competently run primary challenges against a quasi-random sample of the most egregious offenders in 2010 should provide a decent deterrent while producing positive partisan externalities as bad behavior by a small group of Democrats can be used to tar the entire brand, much like the behaviors of Sen. Stevens, Rep. Young and a few other GOP representatives have marginally contributed to the Republican problems over the past two cycles.




























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