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September 17, 2008

The bounce is over(Updated)

By Ron Beasley

Obama has taken the lead in most of the polls again - The Gallup Daily has him up by two again. I really don't think that McCain got a convention bounce it was all the novelty Palin bounce.  Over at Hot Air Allahpundit wonders if Palin is becoming "a bit of an anchor".  Indeed her favorablity has plummeted in the last week.

Sept. 11: +17 (day the Gibson interview airs)

Sept. 12: +14

Sept. 13: +9

Sept. 14: +5

Sept. 15: +4

Sept. 16: +1

Sept. 17: -1 (today)

It would appear that Sarah Palin has something in common with Rudi Giuliani -  the more the see and hear her the less they like her.

The New York Times/CBS News Poll  has even more bad news for McCain.  The Palin bounce is officially over and the race is right back where it was before her selection.  In addition most don't see McCain as an agent of change.

Despite an intense effort to distance himself from the way his party has done business in Washington, Senator John McCain is seen by voters as far less likely to bring change to Washington than Senator Barack Obama. He is widely viewed as a “typical Republican” who would continue or expand President Bush’s policies, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News Poll.

Polls taken after the Republican convention suggested that Mr. McCain had enjoyed a surge of support — particularly among white women after his selection of Gov. Sarah Palin of Alaska as his running mate — but the latest poll indicates “the Palin effect” was, at least so far, a limited burst of interest. The contest appeared to be roughly where it was before the two conventions and before the vice-presidential selections: Mr. Obama had the support of 48 percent of registered voters, compared with 43 percent for Mr. McCain, a difference within the poll’s margin of sampling error, and statistically unchanged from the tally in the last New York Times/CBS News Poll in mid-August.

The woman and independents that had jumped to McCain after the selection of Palin and the convention have all returned to Obama.  With the economy the number one issue:

The poll was taken during a period of extraordinary turmoil on Wall Street. By overwhelming numbers, Americans said the economy was the top issue affecting their vote decision, and they continued to express deep pessimism about the nation’s economic future. They continued to express greater confidence in Mr. Obama’s ability to manage the economy, even as Mr. McCain has aggressively sought to raise doubts about it.

http://www.newshoggers.com/blog/2008/09/the-bounce-is-o.html

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