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April 22, 2008

Obama could close the deal today

By Libby

Amidst all the logical projections for a close contest, Democratic consultant Tad Devine strays far outside the CW in predicting an outright Obama win based on psychological factors.

“Even though the polls, the demographics of Pennsylvania, and political factors like endorsements and a closed primary would lead inevitably to the conclusion that Hillary will win,” he says, “primary elections are sometimes decided by more intangible factors, like the gut feelings that voters have about the candidates, which choice empowers voters the most, and the state of the race. I think that may be happening in this primary, and Obama may be able to win because of it.”

Granted it's a long shot but as anyone who has ever bet on the horses knows, sometimes the long shot does come in against all odds and it always pays well. I'm hoping Devine is right. Nothing short of a surprise Obama win will end this interminable primary and I am so ready for it to be over.

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"Whoever can speak, speaking now to the whole nation, becomes a power, a branch of government, with inalienable weight in law-making, in all acts of authority. It matters not what rank he has, what revenues or garnitures. The requisite thing is, that he have a tongue which others will listen to; this and nothing more is requisite. The nation is governed by all that has tongue in the nation: Democracy is virtually there."
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~Thomas Carlyle, On Heroes and Hero Worship, 1841